Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Austria2 - 3Belgium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 5 | 12 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sweden | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 5 | Estonia | 5 | -14 | 1 |
We said: Austria 1-2 Belgium
An entertaining Group F contest could in store on Friday between two nations who will want to clinch qualification for Euro 2024 with a victory and get the job done with two games to spare. Both teams are missing a few key players, but we believe that Belgium have the edge in the final third, particular with an in-form Lukaku set to lead the line, and they should outscore the hosts en route to claiming maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Belgium |
36.19% ( -0.14) | 26.84% ( -0.05) | 36.97% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
