MX23RW : Monday, May 6 11:31:53| >> :120:5733:5733:
Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
 

Varda SE
1 - 0
Kairat

Mesanovic (39')
Otvos (12'), Makowski (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sadybekov (89')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Varda SE and Kairat.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Kairat 0-1 Varda SE
Thursday, July 21 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Kairat 0-1 Varda SE
Thursday, July 21 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kairat win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.

Result
Varda SEDrawKairat
41.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.06% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.49%
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Kairat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28%24.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73%59.27% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Varda SE 41.58%
    Kairat 34.06%
    Draw 24.36%
Varda SEDrawKairat
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.06%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 3pm
Kairat
0-1
Varda SE

Astanov (53'), Bagnack (62')
Asani (82')
Leoni (40'), Otvos (74'), (74'), Asani (82')
rhs 2.0
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