Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Émile Mayrisch
Tre Fiori3 - 1Fola Esch
Goh (31'), Gjurchinoski (45+1', 51')
Rastelli (27'), Mantovani (41'), Goh (62'), Procacci (90+1')
Rastelli (27'), Mantovani (41'), Goh (62'), Procacci (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Correia Mendes (37')
Costa (83'), Pimentel (88')
Costa (83'), Pimentel (88')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tre Fiori and Fola Esch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tre Fiori win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Fola Esch had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tre Fiori win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fola Esch win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tre Fiori would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tre Fiori | Draw | Fola Esch |
41.82% ( 0) | 22.51% ( -0) | 35.66% |
| Both teams to score 66.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
