MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 19:41:06| >> :120:28679:28679:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
PAOK
Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Hearts logo

PAOK
4 - 0
Hearts

Taison (16', 71'), Brandon (23'), Konstantelias (58')
Brandon (24'), Koulierakis (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sibbick (18'), Shankland (37'), Devlin (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Kifisia
Sunday, August 27 at 7pm in Greek Superleague

Hearts

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Hearts
Sunday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: PAOK 1-1 Hearts (PAOK to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Another closely-fought contest is to be expected in Thursday's second leg, with the onus on Hearts to improve at both ends of the pitch if they wish to spark a comeback. Although the Jam Tarts will fancy their chances in Greece, PAOK have made a strong start to the new season and we expect the hosts to extend their unbeaten run by claiming at least a draw to advance to the group stage on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawHearts
55.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.0039999999999978 0)67.85% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)16.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)45.89% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)35.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)71.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 55.33%
    Hearts 21.69%
    Draw 22.97%
PAOKDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73%
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 21.69%

How you voted: PAOK vs Hearts

PAOK
77.5%
Draw
5.0%
Hearts
17.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Hearts
1-2
PAOK
Shankland (9' pen.)
Shankland (51'), Devlin (82')
Schwab (12' pen.), Zivkovic (75')
Tsiggaras (51'), Troost-Ekong (82'), Soares (90+5'), Murg (90+9')
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