Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
PAOK2 - 1Midtjylland
We said: PAOK 1-1 FC Midtjylland (Midtjylland to win 2-1 on aggregate)
Neither team has been in free-scoring form recently and so Thursday's second leg is set to be a cagey affair, with Midtjylland looking to hold on to their one-goal advantage. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards in Thessaloniki, which would be enough to see the visitors progress on aggregate to the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 49.55% | 25.37% | 25.08% |
| Both teams to score 50.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
