MX23RW : Friday, May 10 06:05:29| >> :120:25280:25280:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Istanbul Basaksehir
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium
Hearts logo

Istanbul
3 - 1
Hearts

Ndayishimiye (4'), Gurler (33'), Ozcan (64')
Ndayishimiye (80'), Aleksic (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Atkinson (90')
Sibbick (24'), Smith (39'), Atkinson (71'), Cochrane (80'), Halliday (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Giresunspor
Monday, October 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hearts

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 3-0 Hearts

 Although Hearts have improved since being blown away on matchday one, few people will expect them to make a dent in Istanbul on Thursday night. We are not one of those people, leading us to predict a routine win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHearts
54.95% (0.223 0.22) 25.35% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 19.7% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91% (0.104 0.1)57.09% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)77.97% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.13499999999999 0.13)20.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (0.208 0.21)53.48% (-0.209 -0.21)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)43.79% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (-0.087 -0.09)79.95% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 54.93%
    Hearts 19.7%
    Draw 25.35%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHearts
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 11.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.7%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Hearts

Istanbul Basaksehir
79.7%
Draw
8.7%
Hearts
11.6%
69
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
Group A
Hearts
0-4
Istanbul
Ali Kaldirim (26'), Ndayishimiye (67'), Kingsley (75' og.), Ozcan (82')
Touba (37')
rhs 2.0
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