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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
66.24% | 19.94% | 13.82% |
Both teams to score 48.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% | 45.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% | 67.6% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.23% | 12.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.93% | 39.07% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.72% | 44.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.65% | 80.36% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 11.97% 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.73% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.48% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.94% | 0-1 @ 4.61% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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