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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitesse in this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
31.31% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.48) | 45.13% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( -1.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( -2.33) | 40.26% ( 2.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.36% ( -2.44) | 62.64% ( 2.44) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -1.15) | 24.99% ( 1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( -1.62) | 59.64% ( 1.62) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% ( -1.1) | 18.15% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.87% ( -1.91) | 49.13% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.68% Total : 45.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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