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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
57.77% ( -0.17) | 22.09% ( 0.07) | 20.13% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.88% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.37% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.98% ( -0.18) | 66.02% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.12) | 14.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( -0.22) | 43.14% ( 0.22) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0) | 35.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0) | 72.33% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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