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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Vitesse

Almere City
5 - 0
Vitesse

Cathline (28'), Kitala (43'), Jacobs (82'), Pena (87'), Robinet (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 Vitesse

Given the defensive records of both sides heading into this one, we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We can also see the spoils being shared at the end of the 90 minutes, with the teams having to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawVitesse
34.62% (3.268 3.27) 24.78% (1.619 1.62) 40.6% (-4.88 -4.88)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-4.634 -4.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-6.577 -6.58)44.9% (6.585 6.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-6.65 -6.65)67.26% (6.658 6.66)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-1.223 -1.22)25.25% (1.231 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-1.718 -1.72)60% (1.726 1.73)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-4.838 -4.84)22.08% (4.844 4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-7.888 -7.89)55.44% (7.896 7.9)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 34.62%
    Vitesse 40.6%
    Draw 24.78%
Almere CityDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.573 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.68% (1.769 1.77)
2-0 @ 5.28% (1.069 1.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.421 0.42)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 11.59% (1.21 1.21)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.485 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.58% (1.435 1.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-1 @ 8.42% (1.142 1.14)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.941 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.781 -0.78)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.531 -0.53)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Almere City vs Vitesse

Almere City
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitesse
40.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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