MX23RW : Friday, April 26 08:53:22| >> :600:1598172:1598172:
Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
3 - 4
Exeter

Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
40.86%25.95%33.18%
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57%50.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64%72.36%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.87%
    Exeter City 33.18%
    Draw 25.95%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.18%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Exeter
1-1
Swindon
Jay (72')
Taylor (45')
Doyle (88')
Baudry (39'), Doughty (94')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swindon
0-2
Exeter
Forte (37' pen.), Collins (69')
Martin (57'), Ogbene (89')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Exeter
2-0
Swindon
Forte (14'), Stockley (63')
Boateng (59')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Exeter
3-1
Swindon
Taylor (33'), Sweeney (44' pen.), Stockley (87')
Moxey (12')
Woolery (27')
Taylor (45'), Robertson (90')
rhs 2.0
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