MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 20:53:03| >> :600:2764553:2764553:
Sutton United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium

Sutton
2 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

Kasimu (79'), Beautyman (90+10')
Angol (28'), Pereira (39'), Sowunmi (54')
FT
(aet)
O'Reilly (6' pen.), Kellyman (67')
Kellyman (56')
Aston Villa U21s win 6-4 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sutton United and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 1 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.69%).

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAston Villa Under-21s
56.81% (0.976 0.98) 21.62% (-0.132 -0.13) 21.56% (-0.848 -0.85)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (-0.455 -0.45)39.53% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.475 -0.48)61.88% (0.469 0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (0.15000000000001 0.15)13.77% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (0.30099999999999 0.3)41.07% (-0.305 -0.31)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-1.012 -1.01)31.84% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-1.173 -1.17)68.28% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 56.81%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 21.56%
    Draw 21.62%
Sutton UnitedDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 56.81%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 21.56%

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