EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale3 - 2Fleetwood
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Port Vale and Fleetwood Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnsley 7-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
40.71% ( -0.01) | 26.68% ( 0) | 32.61% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.39% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( 0.01) | 53.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.96% ( 0.01) | 75.04% ( -0) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( 0) | 25.86% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% ( 0) | 60.84% ( 0) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( 0.01) | 30.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( 0.02) | 66.94% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale 40.71%
Fleetwood Town 32.61%
Draw 26.68%
Port Vale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.61% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Fleetwood
Port Vale
50.0%Draw
20.0%Fleetwood Town
30.0%10
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 16:23:55
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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