MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 09:01:40| >> :600:384314:384314:
Bristol City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol City
1 - 3
Lincoln

Conway (80')
Low (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Virtue (6'), House (15'), O'Connor (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 2-0 Lincoln City

Confidence levels in the Lincoln camp would have hit a new low with the weekend's FA Cup embarrassment, and meeting a higher-tier side will not help the discontent from the visiting end either. Bristol City have not covered themselves in glory in recent weeks either, but Pearson's side should have enough quality to make it through to the next phase of the EFL Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLincoln City
38% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 24.87% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 37.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)45.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)67.4% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.92% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.073 0.07)58.13% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38%
    Lincoln City 37.13%
    Draw 24.86%
Bristol CityDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.13%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Lincoln

Bristol City
77.4%
Draw
11.3%
Lincoln City
11.3%
62
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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