DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Saarbrucken 1-2 Kaiserslautern
While the fairytale has been a magical one, Saarbrucken's lower stature makes them slight outsiders for this one, despite home advantage.
Kaiserslautern are showing no real form in the league but have pulled big performances out of the bag in the cup, and their undoubted higher quality on paper may shine through here to see them reach an eighth Pokal final.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Saarbrucken had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Saarbrucken win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.
| Result |
| Saarbrucken | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
30.01% ( -0.14) | 23.63% ( 0.01) | 46.36% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.12) |
| 58.76% ( -0.13) | 41.23% ( 0.12) |
| 36.37% ( -0.13) | 63.63% ( 0.12) |
| 73.71% ( -0.15) | 26.28% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.59% ( -0.2) | 61.4% ( 0.2) |
| 81.95% ( -0) | 18.04% ( -0) |
