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[monks data]
Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Feb 2, 2021 at 7pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Nottingham Forest logo

Coventry
1 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Biamou (17')
O'Hare (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grabban (22'), Rose (53' og.)
Knockaert (54'), Krovinovic (74'), Colback (90+2'), Bong (90+13')

Preview: Coventry City vs. Nottingham Forest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Coventry City are back as the home side at St Andrew's on Tuesday night after acting as the away team in their game against landlords Birmingham City on Saturday.

Mark Robins's side drew 1-1 with the Blues and now face Nottingham Forest, another team sitting below them in the Championship table.


Match preview

Coventry City manager Mark Robins pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Gustavo Hamer became Coventry's top scorer this season when he provided the equaliser against Birmingham on Saturday after the Sky Blues trailed to Jeremie Bela's penalty.

The draw kept Coventry in 17th but pushed them seven points clear of the relegation zone, and it is now just three defeats in their last 15 Championship games.

The Sky Blues have lost just twice at St Andrew's all season and are unbeaten in their last eight home matches.

A win against Forest would give them a platform to build on ahead of a tricky run of fixtures as they face the current top four in their following five games.

However, Chris Hughton's side will surely see this match as an opportunity to gain confidence themselves, especially with a clash against bottom side Wycombe Wanderers on the horizon.

Nottingham Forest's Scott McKenna celebrates with teammates after scoring against Coventry City on November 4, 2020© Reuters

Forest fell to 21st following their 0-0 draw with Barnsley on Saturday, and they are just three points above the relegation zone.

The Reds have not actually dropped into the bottom three since Hughton won his first game in charge in October and have suffered just one defeat in their last nine league matches.

Forest's 1-0 win over Preston North End in their last league away game was only their second victory on the road all season and only Sheffield Wednesday and Wycombe have picked up fewer away points in the Championship, while no team has scored fewer away goals.

Lyle Taylor's 97th-minute penalty secured a dramatic 2-1 win for Forest in the reverse fixture at the City Ground in November – their sixth victory over Coventry in their last eight meetings.

Coventry City Championship form: DLWLWD
Coventry City form (all competitions): LWLLWD

Nottingham Forest Championship form: DDWWLD
Nottingham Forest form (all competitions): WWWLLD


Team News

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Robins has gone with a 4-3-3 formation in the last two games due to Kyle McFadzean's absence and may do so again after picking up four points.

Josh Pask made his first start since October on Saturday, and he should continue at right-back in place of the injured Fankaty Dabo.

Maxime Biamou is currently playing through a torn cartilage injury so may be rested after starting two games in the space of 72 hours.

Scott McKenna missed Forest's draw with Barnsley with an ankle problem, and the centre-back will be assessed in the lead up to the trip to St Andrew's.

James Garner signed on loan from Manchester United on Saturday and could make his debut on Tuesday evening. Yuri Ribeiro remains suspended, meanwhile, so Gaetan Bong will continue at left-back.

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Wilson; Pask, Ostigard, Hyam, McCallum; Sheaf, James, Hamer; O'Hare, Gyokeres, Shipley

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, Worrall, Figueiredo, Bong; Garner, Sow; Knockaert, Krovinovic, Ameobi; Grabban


SM words green background

We say: Coventry City 0-0 Nottingham Forest

This looks like it will be a tight game as both sides are hard to beat, yet they also struggle to create many clear cut opportunities going forward. It is unlikely to be an entertaining match, and we fancy a goalless draw here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.


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