MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 20:33:13| >> :600:3129379:3129379:
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Toulouse

Rouen
3 - 3
Toulouse

Berrezkami (16'), Sanson (43' pen.), Bouzamoucha (64')
Aggoune (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sierro (19' pen.), Gboho (32'), Nicolaisen (90+2')
Cissoko (43'), Spierings (63')
Rouen win 12-11 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Rouen and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rouen

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Louhans-Cuiseaux 0-2 Rouen
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Toulouse

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rouen 0-2 Toulouse

 With Rouen having recently impressed either side of the Christmas and New Year period, this will not be a routine win for Toulouse. Nevertheless, we expect the visitors to run out victors in the end, potentially with a goal in each half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Rouen win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
RouenDrawToulouse
13.49% (0.282 0.28) 18.19% (0.119 0.12) 68.32% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (0.13 0.13)37.94% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (0.139 0.14)60.19% (-0.139 -0.14)
Rouen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (0.502 0.5)40.13% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (0.454 0.45)76.78% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)10.13% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.67% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)33.32% (0.144 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rouen 13.49%
    Toulouse 68.31%
    Draw 18.19%
RouenDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 3.88% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 13.49%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.19%
0-2 @ 10.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 8.13% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 7.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.044 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 68.31%

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