MX23RW : Friday, May 10 18:13:40| >> :60:107:107:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Paulinho (68', 87')
Battaglia (5'), Mariano (22'), Pavon (39'), Paulinho (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Santana (51')
Heleno (53'), Pablo (70'), Terans (74'), Canobbio (86'), Madson (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
64.82% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 13.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 43.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.27% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.026 0.03)73.97% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)44.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)48.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.11% (0.016999999999999 0.02)83.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 64.81%
    Athletico Paranaense 13.62%
    Draw 21.56%
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 10.09%
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 13.62%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico PR

Atletico Mineiro
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Athletico Paranaense
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 1am
gameweek 3
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Athletico PR
Hulk (10', 84')
Rever (29'), Lemos (68'), Everson (90+8')
Roque (90+2')
Turra (0'), Santana (64'), Linck (86'), Canobbio (90+9')
Santana (80')
Apr 19, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Athletico PR
2-1
Atletico Mineiro
Roque (7'), Terans (35' pen.)
Paulinho (70')
Mariano (26'), Paulinho (34')
Coudet (27'), Mariano (87')
Aug 7, 2022 11pm
gameweek 21
Atletico Mineiro
2-3
Athletico PR
Rabello (30'), Pavon (54')
Rodrigues de Souza (36')
Roque (46', 56'), Canobbio (90+6')
Pedrinho (51'), Canobbio (76')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
gameweek 2
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Pablo (73'), Moura (80')
Zaracho (49')
Fernandez (78'), Ademir (80'), Silva (90+1')
Dec 16, 2021 12.30am
Final 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Jaderson (87')
Kayzer (29'), Vinicius (45+5'), Cittadini (45+7')
Keno (25'), Hulk (76')
Vargas (45+7'), Jair (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!