Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 1, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima2 - 2Estudiantes
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Estudiantes Merida.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alianza Lima | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
39.91% | 27.05% | 33.04% |
Both teams to score 50.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.09% | 54.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Alianza Lima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% | 26.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% | 62.27% |
Estudiantes Merida Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% | 31.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% | 67.42% |
Score Analysis |
Alianza Lima 39.9%
Estudiantes Merida 33.04%
Draw 27.05%
Alianza Lima | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.04% |
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Estudiantes
3-2
Alianza Lima
Rivas (64'), Mena (82'), Rivas (90+7' pen.)
Rivas (17'), Rivas (73'), Manriquez (81'), Rivas (90+4')
Rivas (17'), Rivas (73'), Manriquez (81'), Rivas (90+4')
Gomez (51' pen.), Arroe (54')
Salazar (14'), Zuniga (85'), Quijada (90+6')
Salazar (14'), Zuniga (85'), Quijada (90+6')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-06 09:54:24
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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