Chinese Super League | Gameweek 26
Nov 21, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Yuexiushan Stadium
Guangzhou City1 - 2Beijing Guoan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Beijing Guoan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, November 12 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, November 12 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-1 Wuhan
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
19.97% ( 0.04) | 22.65% ( 0.03) | 57.38% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
