MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 08:21:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
42.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 27.99% (-0.032 -0.03) 29.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.127 0.13)59.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)79.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)63.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.11 0.11)35.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (0.112 0.11)72.54% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.27%
    Millwall 29.73%
    Draw 27.98%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
37.9%
Draw
30.5%
Millwall
31.6%
95
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!