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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 3
Burnley

Tufan (90+3')
Pelkas (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Ekdal (57'), Maatsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Wigan
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-2 Burnley

Hull are looking to achieve a top-half finish in the Championship for the first time since the 2015-16 campaign, but face a Burnley side who are on a relentless unbeaten run. The Clarets were able to cruise to victory against 10-man Wigan on Saturday, so Kompany's team should have plenty of energy to put in another commanding display at the MKM Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
20.37% (-0.232 -0.23) 25% (0.055 0.05) 54.63% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.459 -0.46)55.1% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.38 -0.38)76.35% (0.377 0.38)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-0.515 -0.52)41.9% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.452 -0.45)78.35% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.113 -0.11)20.15% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.178 -0.18)52.42% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 20.37%
    Burnley 54.62%
    Draw 24.99%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 13.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.32% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.62%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.6%
Draw
9.0%
Burnley
67.4%
89
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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