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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
2 - 1
West Brom

Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Maatsen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Furlong (7')
Furlong (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley have been unbeatable at home so far this season but now clash with a West Brom side who are firing under Corberan after a difficult spell with Bruce. The Baggies face their toughest assignment since Corberan took charge on Friday night at Turf Moor and you get the feeling they would take a respectable point to keep their unbeaten run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 23.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 19.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.92% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.023 0.02)73.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)49.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)77.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.69%
    Draw 23.93%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
62.0%
Draw
23.3%
West Bromwich Albion
14.7%
163
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
West Brom

Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')

Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Mar 31, 2018 3pm
West Brom
1-2
Burnley
Rondon (84')
Yacob (90')
Barnes (22'), Wood (74')
Barnes (54'), Cork (79'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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