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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Bristol City

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wells (27')
Scott (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBristol City
57.35% (-0.597 -0.6) 22.62% (0.804 0.8) 20.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-3.001 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-3.826 -3.83)46.07% (3.832 3.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-3.725 -3.73)68.37% (3.73 3.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.492 -1.49)15.81% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.83 -2.83)44.97% (2.835 2.83)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-2.404 -2.4)37.07% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-2.466 -2.47)73.85% (2.473 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.35%
    Bristol City 20.03%
    Draw 22.61%
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% (1.166 1.17)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.9 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Burnley vs Bristol City

Burnley
65.7%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol City
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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