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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%).
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
42.62% | 25.22% | 32.15% |
Both teams to score 55.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% | 47.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% | 69.76% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% | 22.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% | 55.7% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.98% | 28.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.33% | 63.67% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |