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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Rose (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fuhrich (68' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-0 Stuttgart

With Stuttgart likely to be missing key personnel through injury and suspension, we expect Leipzig's impressive run of results to continue with a comfortable victory on Friday night. Rose's side are unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions and appear to be Bayern's biggest threat at the top of the table on current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
67.72% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 14.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56%9.44% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29%31.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.73% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.72%
    Stuttgart 14.32%
    Draw 17.96%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.72%
1-1 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-1 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.32%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
84.4%
Draw
10.9%
Stuttgart
4.7%
128
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')
Jan 2, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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