Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza4 - 2Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 0-3 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Fluminense |
35.09% ( 0.14) | 26.3% ( -0.07) | 38.6% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( 0.31) | 51.57% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.27) | 73.36% ( -0.27) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( 0.24) | 28.14% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( 0.3) | 63.82% ( -0.3) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( 0.1) | 26.11% ( -0.11) |