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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 18, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Tigre
0 - 1
River Plate

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Gonzalez Pirez (41'), Fernandez (72'), Solari (84')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 2-2 Tigre
Monday, February 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, February 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
TigreDrawRiver Plate
28.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 26.43% (-0.023 -0.02) 44.73% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (0.085000000000001 0.09)53.93% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (0.069999999999997 0.07)75.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.6% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.24% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.057999999999993 0.06)24.01% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08)58.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 28.84%
    River Plate 44.72%
    Draw 26.43%
TigreDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 28.84%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21%
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.72%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Tigre
1-1
River Plate
Retegui (70' pen.)
Blondel (29'), Fernandez (45+1')
Cabrera (89')
Solari (37')
May 12, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
1-2
Tigre
Fernandez (58')
de la Cruz (13'), Diaz (63')
Retegui (5'), Colidio (67')
Retegui (22'), Blondel (62'), Luciatti (68'), Marinelli (78')
Apr 7, 2019 7.15pm
River Plate
2-3
Tigre
Rojas (17'), Lopez (86')
Janson (29'), Morales (81'), Cavallaro (89')
Menossi (69'), Silveira (87')
rhs 2.0
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