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Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Union

Coronel (18' pen.)
Tesuri (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luna Diale (32'), Gordillo (46'), Machuca (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 3-0 Independiente
Saturday, June 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Union

Despite Union clearly being in better form ahead of this huge clash towards the bottom of the table, they may have been rocked by the departure of their manager earlier this week. Tucuman have won their last two home matches and will therefore feel confident of piling on the misery for their opponents, so we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
46% (0.0010000000000048 0) 30.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.25%68.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.57%86.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66%30.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)82.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 45.99%
    Union 23.74%
    Draw 30.24%
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
1-0 @ 16.79%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 45.99%
0-0 @ 14.08%
1-1 @ 12.89%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.24%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.74%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Union

Atletico Tucuman
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Union
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Tucuman
1-1
Union
Isa (89')
Corvalan (48')
Feb 22, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Union
1-0
Tucuman
Alvez (55')
Calderon (45+2'), Alvez (51'), Moyano (86')

Gil Romero (41'), Carrera (70'), Lotti (86')
Nov 29, 2021 8pm
Second Phase
Union
3-0
Tucuman
Manuel Garcia (34' pen., 40', 53')
Carlos Portillo (63')

Bustos (25'), Carrera (51'), Erbes (52'), Cabral (76'), Ruiz (83')
Nov 9, 2019 12.10am
Gameweek 13
Union
0-1
Tucuman

Bottinelli (70'), Gomez (74')
Bottinelli (85')
Diaz (29')
Ortiz (40'), Gissi (51'), Acosta (64')
Feb 15, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 19
Union
3-0
Tucuman
Fragapane (12', 40'), Pitton (80')
rhs 2.0
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