Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baba Yara Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 1-2 AngolaSaturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Ghana 2-0 Central African Republic
With qualification on the line, we anticipate Ghana and Central African Republic to take the game to each other from the get-go. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy the Black Stars claiming all three points in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (13.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
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