MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 14:16:27| >> :600:4130922:4130922:
Madagascar national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
 
Ghana national football team

Madagascar
0 - 0
Ghana


Rakotoarisoa (27'), Amada (74'), Randrianiaina (79')
FT

Abdul Samed (71'), Partey (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Madagascar and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 1-1 Ghana
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Madagascar 0-2 Ghana

Ghana have enjoyed an unbeaten qualifying campaign and will be backing themselves against a Madagascar side who have won just one of their last seven matches. The Black Stars boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy then picking up a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.26%) and 0-3 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.62%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MadagascarDrawGhana
9.36% (0.2 0.2) 20.78% (-0.164 -0.16) 69.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 33.21% (0.98200000000001 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (0.978 0.98)58.51% (-0.974 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (0.757 0.76)79.09% (-0.75399999999999 -0.75)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.49% (1.02 1.02)60.51% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.09% (0.504 0.5)90.91% (-0.501 -0.5)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.32600000000001 0.33)15.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.87% (0.595 0.59)45.13% (-0.592 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 9.36%
    Ghana 69.85%
    Draw 20.78%
MadagascarDrawGhana
1-0 @ 4.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 2.23% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 9.36%
0-0 @ 9.62% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-1 @ 8.89% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.05% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.78%
0-1 @ 17.69% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-2 @ 16.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-3 @ 9.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 4.59% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.092 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 69.85%

How you voted: Madagascar vs Ghana

Madagascar
11.8%
Draw
5.9%
Ghana
82.4%
34
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
2-1
Ghana
Razafindranaivo (10'), Randriatsiferana (61')
Agyapong (67')
Jun 1, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Ghana
3-0
Madagascar
Kudus (53'), Afena-Gyan (56'), Bukari (86')
Amartey (90+1')

Mombris (65')
rhs 2.0
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