Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
40.89% ( -1.1) | 23.03% ( -0.25) | 36.08% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 65.05% ( 1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.85% ( 1.54) | 36.15% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.74% ( 1.67) | 58.26% ( -1.67) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% ( 0.17) | 18.23% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.74% ( 0.3) | 49.26% ( -0.29) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% ( 1.39) | 20.44% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% ( 2.16) | 52.89% ( -2.16) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.79% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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