World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Venezuela3 - 0Chile
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Venezuela
Friday, October 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, October 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Chile 2-0 Peru
Friday, October 13 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, October 13 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Venezuela 1-0 Chile
Venezuela will have taken significant confidence from their draw against Brazil, and we can envisage them recording a fourth successive 1-0 win on home soil on Tuesday. Chile are still flattering to deceive under Berizza's management, with their ageing side feeling somewhat stale, and they have it all to do to prove they are capable of avoiding missing out on qualifying for the World Cup for the third successive campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Chile had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Chile |
41.07% ( 2) | 29.17% ( 0.13) | 29.75% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.29% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
