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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 8, 2021 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
River Plate

Rodriguez (17' og.), Bergessio (34'), Neves (56')
Bergessio (54'), Orihuela (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Montiel (38'), Bonifazi (78'), Viera (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
36.87%28.94%34.19%
Both teams to score 44.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.33%61.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.5%81.49%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95%32.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48%68.52%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19%33.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52%70.47%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.87%
    River Plate 34.19%
    Draw 28.94%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 11.75%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.19%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')
Aug 15, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
2-3
Nacional
Leites (6'), Viera (21')
Bergessio (12', 45+2', 76')
Oct 24, 2019 8pm
River Plate
3-1
Nacional
Olivera (8'), Urruti (16'), Leites (61')
Viera (41'), Calzada (47'), Fernandez (70'), Arezo (78')
Bergessio (36')
Garcia (32'), Bergessio (85'), Neves (89')
Aug 17, 2019 7pm
Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Vecino (59')
Laborda (7'), Corujo (28'), Vecino (34'), Vina (35'), Ocampo (82')
Piquerez (57')
Piquerez (1'), Calzada (51'), Arezo (61'), Leites (77'), Olveira (92')
Urruti (45')
Apr 6, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 8
Nacional
6-0
River Plate
Neves (3'), Amaral (5'), Bergessio (25', 28'), Rivero (67'), Vina (73')
Vina (52'), Corujo (66'), Lorenzetti (83')

Piriz (44')
Piriz (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol109102241828
2ProgresoProgreso107302314924
3NacionalNacional106402091122
4Defensor SportingDefensor104421913616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing104331512315
6Cerro Largo10433108215
7Boston RiverBoston River104331212015
8River PlateRiver Plate103341314-112
9DanubioDanubio103341113-212
10LiverpoolLiverpool102531515011
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers102351016-69
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10226915-68
13CerroCerro101541118-78
14Rampla JuniorsRampla10226922-138
15Miramar Misiones101451420-67
16FenixFenix10046513-84
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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