MX23RW : Monday, May 20 00:19:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
46.79%27.88%25.32%
Both teams to score 44.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02%60.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.97%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77%61.22%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62%40.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01%76.98%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.78%
    Plaza Colonia 25.32%
    Draw 27.87%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 46.78%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 25.32%

Head to Head
Jun 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Nacional
Dibble (34')
Cruz Mascia (44'), Risso (58'), Leonai (69'), Quintana (70'), Dibble (71')
Leonai (79')
Trezza (46'), Bergessio (73' pen.)
Corujo (45+1'), Garcia (83'), Bergessio (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Bergessio (67')
Mendez (14'), Ocampo (32'), Lores (80'), Martinez (86'), Cartagena (90')
Cruz Mascia (68')
Cruz Mascia (43'), Suhr (82'), Fernandez (85')
Aug 23, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 7
Plaza Colonia
0-0
Nacional
Calleros (38'), Dibble (65')
Rodriguez (20'), Yacob (23'), Laborda (66')
Bergessio (26'), Suarez (90+5')
Oct 17, 2019 12am
Plaza Colonia
0-2
Nacional

Risso (37'), Dibble (84'), Sequeira (91')
Bergessio (14', 62')
Mendez (71')
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
Nacional
3-0
Plaza Colonia
Rodriguez (22'), Neves (60'), Fernandez (84')
Carvalho (64'), Castro (89')

Caseras (23'), Risso (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
7Cerro Largo135351413118
8LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones121561523-88


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!