Each of the last four league meetings between these clubs has ended in a draw, and a second 1-1 result of the season is among the likelier outcomes this time around.
Neither side is particularly prolific - certainly with Beto and Arnautovic both sidelined - and they stand side-by-side in the standings, so the spoils should be shared once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
