Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
55.41% ( 0.74) | 22.59% ( -0.25) | 22% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.56% ( 0.51) | 43.43% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.17% ( 0.5) | 65.83% ( -0.5) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( 0.43) | 15.55% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.51% ( 0.8) | 44.49% ( -0.8) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.18) | 33.64% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.19) | 70.29% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |