Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
18.45% ( 0.21) | 23.79% ( 0.18) | 57.75% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% ( -0.43) | 52.94% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.45% ( -0.37) | 74.54% ( 0.36) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.19% ( -0.01) | 42.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% ( -0) | 79.12% ( -0) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( -0.31) | 18.12% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.92% ( -0.53) | 49.08% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.45% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |