Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
47.49% ( 0.07) | 25.55% ( 0.07) | 26.96% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( -0.4) | 51.51% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( -0.35) | 73.31% ( 0.35) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( -0.14) | 21.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( -0.2) | 54.85% ( 0.21) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% ( -0.32) | 33.78% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( -0.35) | 70.45% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |