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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik
Krasnodar

Orenburg
5 - 1
Krasnodar

Sychevoy (2', 29', 59'), Vera (23'), Marin (51')
Ayupov (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Ionov (43')
Pantaleao (9'), Volkov (15'), Manelov (45+5'), Akhmetov (47'), Petrov (71'), Sorokin (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 2-0 Orenburg
Friday, November 4 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 3-3 Krasnodar
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
45.07% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83) 24.09% (0.226 0.23) 30.83% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.24% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (-0.741 -0.74)42.99% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (-0.737 -0.74)65.39% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)19.26% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-1.066 -1.07)50.99% (1.065 1.07)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.022999999999996 0.02)26.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (0.031000000000006 0.03)61.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 45.07%
    FC Krasnodar 30.83%
    Draw 24.09%
OrenburgDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Orenburg
Ionov (28'), Cordoba (66')
Krivtsov (61'), Banjac (68')

Gojkovic (10'), Mansilla (40'), Ayupov (55')
Mansilla (56')
Jun 27, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 4pm
Krasnodar
1-1
Orenburg
Fernandes (43')
Berg (80')
Despotovic (32')
Despotovic (19')
Mar 11, 2019 4.30pm
Krasnodar
2-2
Orenburg
Ari (63'), Skopintsev (73')
Pereyra (23'), Suleymanov (86')
Sutormin (41'), Oyewole (89')
Kozlov (72')
Aug 26, 2018 12pm
Orenburg
1-1
Krasnodar
Kozlov (22')
Suleymanov (88')
Spajic (44'), Kabore (57'), Stotsky (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Moscow29168553381556
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit29166750262454
3FC KrasnodarKrasnodar29158644291553
4Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv291311549371250
5Spartak Moscow2914784132949
6RostovRostov29127104244-243
7CSKA MoscowCSKA281012648381042
8Rubin Kazan29118103037-741
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov29117114543240
10Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny29105143343-1035
11OrenburgOrenburg2979133441-730
12Ural YekaterinburgUral2979133044-1430
13Fakel29611122031-1129
14Nizhny Novgorod2885152644-1829
15Baltika2975173239-726
16Sochi2958163647-1123


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