Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
55.49% ( -1.18) | 22.89% ( 0.3) | 21.62% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( -0.2) | 45.24% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.42% ( -0.19) | 67.58% ( 0.19) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.85% ( -0.47) | 16.15% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.4% ( -0.87) | 45.6% ( 0.87) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( 0.75) | 35.01% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% ( 0.78) | 71.76% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 21.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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