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[monks data]
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Burton Albion

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')

Preview: Portsmouth vs. Burton Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With only a point separating the two sides in the League One table, Portsmouth could leapfrog Burton Albion with a victory on Tuesday.

The Brewers, meanwhile, will head to Fratton Park with an air of confidence after picking up seven points from their last three away games.


Match preview

Portsmouth manager Danny Cowley pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Pompey enter Tuesday's contest in low spirits having failed to win any of their last six games in all competitions.

Danny Cowley's men are still searching for their first league win of the calendar year, and they head into the midweek fixture off the back of three consecutive defeats after Portsmouth lost 3-2 to Oxford United at the weekend in the most dramatic of circumstances.

Luke McNally gave Oxford the lead, but Pompey struck back quickly through Michael Jacobs before the visitors were reduced to 10 men following Joe Morrell's dismissal.

Despite the numerical disadvantage, Portsmouth hit the front courtesy of a Ronan Curtis strike, but the drama was not over as Oxford restored parity through Cameron Brannagan before Nathan Holland won the encounter for the U's in the sixth minute of stoppage time.

Only Shrewsbury Town and Crewe Alexandra have scored fewer goals (3) than Pompey (4) in their last six league games and if Cowley's men are to halt their current slide, they need an improvement from their frontline.

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, now in charge of Burton Albion, pictured in January, 2021© Reuters

Although Burton are unbeaten in their last three away matches, they enter the midweek contest with one win from their last four games.

On Saturday, the Brewers were unable to take points off Sheffield Wednesday with goals from George Byers and Sylla Sow helping the Owls to a 2-0 victory.

Not only will the defeat disappoint Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, but it was also the first time that his side have conceded more than once in a game this calendar year.

Having collected just a point from their previous three home games, Burton Albion may welcome an away trip, especially as their last three away encounters have resulted in two wins and a draw.

The Brewers have also fared well against Portsmouth in their last two fixtures, with both of those meetings ending 2-1 in favour of Tuesday's visitors.

Portsmouth League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Portsmouth form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Burton Albion League One form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Cambridge United's Dimitar Mitov in action with Portsmouth's Sean Raggett on January 3, 2022© Reuters

After being given his marching orders at the weekend, the hosts will be without the suspended Morrell.

Mahlon Romeo is a doubt for the hosts after missing Portsmouth's match on Saturday with an ankle injury, while Kieran Freeman could also be absent for the midweek encounter after he was forced off in the second half against Oxford.

Jacobs marked his first league start since November with a goal, and the 30-year-old will retain his place in the side for Tuesday's fixture.

Having spent the first half of the season at Burton, Harry Chapman made his first appearance for the club since rejoining on loan from Blackburn Rovers on transfer deadline day.

Christian Saydee made his debut for the Brewers as a second-half substitute on Saturday, and the Bournemouth loanee is expected to be on the bench once again on Tuesday.

After spending the first half of the campaign on loan at Portsmouth, Gassan Ahadme could come into the starting lineup to face his former side.

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bazunu; Carter, Raggett, Ogilvie; Hackett, Tunnicliffe, Thompson, Hume; Jacobs, Curtis, Hirst

Burton Albion possible starting lineup:
Garratt; Hughes, Brayford, Oshilaja; Hamer, Maddox, Shaughnessy, Kokolo; Chapman, Powell, Ahadme


SM words green background

We say: Portsmouth 1-2 Burton Albion

Despite losing on Saturday, Portsmouth can be pleased with their battling performance, but we think that they will fall short on Tuesday when they face a Burton side who have been successful on the road in recent weeks.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Burton Albion

Portsmouth
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Burton Albion
38.5%
13
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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