Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 25.32% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Southend United |
25.32% ( 0.3) | 23.72% ( 0.14) | 50.95% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.36) | 45.02% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.35) | 67.37% ( 0.34) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( 0.05) | 31.64% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% ( 0.06) | 68.05% ( -0.07) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% ( -0.31) | 17.71% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% ( -0.53) | 48.37% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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