Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
85.64% ( 0.04) | 9.74% ( -0.01) | 4.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.75% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.17% ( -0.13) | 26.83% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.73% ( -0.17) | 47.27% ( 0.17) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.73% ( -0.02) | 4.27% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.27% ( -0.05) | 17.73% ( 0.05) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.79% ( -0.23) | 52.21% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.86% ( -0.15) | 86.14% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
3-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.35% Total : 85.63% | 1-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.74% | 1-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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