Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Queretaro1 - 0Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
34.2% ( -0.36) | 25.55% ( 0.18) | 40.24% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( -0.86) | 48.46% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( -0.79) | 70.59% ( 0.78) |
Queretaro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.62) | 27.18% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.82) | 62.59% ( 0.82) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -0.29) | 23.83% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% ( -0.42) | 58% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Queretaro 34.2%
Toluca 40.24%
Draw 25.55%
Queretaro | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.24% |
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Nahuelpan (63')
Mendoza (26')
Mendoza (26')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Fernandez (90+5')
Samudio (45+4')
Samudio (45+4')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Sep 4, 2020 1am
Queretaro
4-1
Toluca
Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')
Rea (81')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-22 00:40:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
> Liga MX Full Table |
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