Guimaraes

3 - 0

Estrela Amadora

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.