Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
42.86% ( -0.34) | 27.06% ( 0.14) | 30.08% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2% ( -0.47) | 55.8% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.07% ( -0.38) | 76.92% ( 0.38) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( -0.39) | 25.77% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( -0.52) | 60.72% ( 0.52) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.1) | 33.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.11) | 70.29% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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