MX23RW : Monday, May 6 01:49:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
42.86% (-0.34 -0.34) 27.06% (0.143 0.14) 30.08% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.467 -0.47)55.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.383 -0.38)76.92% (0.38 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.387 -0.39)25.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.525 -0.52)60.72% (0.523 0.52)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)70.29% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 42.85%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 27.05%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.032000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
70.5%
Draw
15.5%
Southampton
14.0%
129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')
May 3, 2009 3pm
Dec 20, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Lallana (19'), Cork (43'), Skacel (61'), Perry (90')
Morgan (42'), Garner (75')
Cohen (26'), Moloney (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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