Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 0-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.