Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
29.01% ( 0.91) | 25.06% ( 0.67) | 45.92% ( -1.58) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( -1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( -2.37) | 48.25% ( 2.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( -2.2) | 70.4% ( 2.21) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( -0.56) | 30.51% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( -0.66) | 66.73% ( 0.67) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -1.63) | 21.04% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -2.61) | 53.84% ( 2.61) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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