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FA Cup
Chelsea logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Leeds logo

Chelsea
3 - 2
Leeds

Jackson (15'), Mudryk (37'), Gallagher (90')
Chalobah (40'), Fernandez (41'), Caicedo (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fernandez (8', 59')
Firpo (69')

The Match

Match Report

Conor Gallagher scores late on as Chelsea edge past Leeds United to set up an FA Cup quarter-final clash with Leicester City.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Leeds United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Leeds United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's FA Cup fifth-round tie against Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup

Leeds United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Leicester
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawLeeds United
35.53% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 24.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 40.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 60.09% (-0.288 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (-0.367 -0.37)42.58% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.366 -0.37)64.98% (0.371 0.37)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)23.65% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (-0.306 -0.31)57.75% (0.311 0.31)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.155 -0.16)21.29% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (-0.244 -0.24)54.23% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 35.53%
    Leeds United 40.15%
    Draw 24.31%
ChelseaDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.15%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Leeds

Chelsea
66.2%
Leeds United
33.8%
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